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	<title>Comments on: Mass placebocide attempt. The 10:23 campaign</title>
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	<description>Truth, falsehood and evidence: investigations of dubious and dishonest science</description>
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		<title>By: Tweets that mention Mass placebocide attempt. The 10:23 campaign -- Topsy.com</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5956</link>
		<dc:creator>Tweets that mention Mass placebocide attempt. The 10:23 campaign -- Topsy.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 09:37:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5956</guid>
		<description>[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by David Colquhoun, Blue Wode, Edd Edmondson, Paula Thomas, Pauline Sweetman and others. Pauline Sweetman said: RT @david_colquhoun: Hilarious BBC7 sketch : Prince of Wales on #ten23. Put an mp3 file at http://tr.im/MZLU [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by David Colquhoun, Blue Wode, Edd Edmondson, Paula Thomas, Pauline Sweetman and others. Pauline Sweetman said: RT @david_colquhoun: Hilarious BBC7 sketch : Prince of Wales on #ten23. Put an mp3 file at <a href="http://tr.im/MZLU" rel="nofollow">http://tr.im/MZLU</a> [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Muscleman</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5954</link>
		<dc:creator>Muscleman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Feb 2010 17:20:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5954</guid>
		<description>@Dangerous

I know too, I would take the 12million from homeopathy and put it into genetic research into what alleles cause adverse reactions to what substances so that patients can be screened before prescribing. But hold on, such work is already being done, funded as is proper, by the likes of the MRC. The NHS does fund some research but you don&#039;t seem to realise that research is not its primary purpose and the system in this country is that the right people should do the research, which is what happens. 

The results are coming in, for eg knowing your cytochrome p450 profile determines the dose of a number of anti cancer drugs like cisplatin. If you metabolise the drug quickly you need a higher or more frequent dose, if you metabolise it slowly you need a smaller dose. This means everyone gets the same dose in the tissue where it is required.

This work was funded iirc by CRUK. I was not involved, I just worked in the dept where it was done here in Dundee.

The work is ongoing as the genome is large and not only p450s are involved and there are a lot of drugs but pharmacogenetics is a growth area. So your criticism is premature. Also criticising a doctor for prescribing something that helps the large majority when she has no way of telling in advance who are the minority it will harm is more than harsh. You try that job for a while and see how you like it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Dangerous</p>
<p>I know too, I would take the 12million from homeopathy and put it into genetic research into what alleles cause adverse reactions to what substances so that patients can be screened before prescribing. But hold on, such work is already being done, funded as is proper, by the likes of the MRC. The NHS does fund some research but you don&#8217;t seem to realise that research is not its primary purpose and the system in this country is that the right people should do the research, which is what happens. </p>
<p>The results are coming in, for eg knowing your cytochrome p450 profile determines the dose of a number of anti cancer drugs like cisplatin. If you metabolise the drug quickly you need a higher or more frequent dose, if you metabolise it slowly you need a smaller dose. This means everyone gets the same dose in the tissue where it is required.</p>
<p>This work was funded iirc by CRUK. I was not involved, I just worked in the dept where it was done here in Dundee.</p>
<p>The work is ongoing as the genome is large and not only p450s are involved and there are a lot of drugs but pharmacogenetics is a growth area. So your criticism is premature. Also criticising a doctor for prescribing something that helps the large majority when she has no way of telling in advance who are the minority it will harm is more than harsh. You try that job for a while and see how you like it.</p>
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		<title>By: Dangerous Conventional</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5953</link>
		<dc:creator>Dangerous Conventional</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Feb 2010 10:25:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5953</guid>
		<description>Not entirely off topic. Homeopathy costs the NHS about £12 million a year while conventional prescribing costs £12 billion a year (excluding secondary care costs due to adverse reactions). I&#039;m no accountant but if I was looking to save money I know where I would look first. 
The NICE guidance on statins is one of their better efforts but this needs to be balanced against their awful guidance on COX-2 inhibitors.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not entirely off topic. Homeopathy costs the NHS about £12 million a year while conventional prescribing costs £12 billion a year (excluding secondary care costs due to adverse reactions). I&#8217;m no accountant but if I was looking to save money I know where I would look first.<br />
The NICE guidance on statins is one of their better efforts but this needs to be balanced against their awful guidance on COX-2 inhibitors.</p>
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		<title>By: David Colquhoun</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5951</link>
		<dc:creator>David Colquhoun</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 22:39:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5951</guid>
		<description>@Dangerous
It seems we agree about homeopathy so your post is entirely off topic,

But since you raised it, I deplore as much as you the commercial pressures to overprescribe statins.  There is a good &lt;a href=&quot;http://guidance.nice.org.uk/TA94/Guidance/Recommendations_1&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;review by NICE&lt;/a&gt;. I have fairly low risk of CVD despite my age so I wouldn&#039;t take them.  I should pont out that the evidence for sardines being useful is hardly strong either.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Dangerous<br />
It seems we agree about homeopathy so your post is entirely off topic,</p>
<p>But since you raised it, I deplore as much as you the commercial pressures to overprescribe statins.  There is a good <a href="http://guidance.nice.org.uk/TA94/Guidance/Recommendations_1" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">review by NICE</a>. I have fairly low risk of CVD despite my age so I wouldn&#8217;t take them.  I should pont out that the evidence for sardines being useful is hardly strong either.</p>
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		<title>By: Dangerous Conventional</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5950</link>
		<dc:creator>Dangerous Conventional</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 18:09:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>You can have RCTs which don&#039;t look at primary end point data and focus on surrogate markers, which many studies do. They are not the be all and end all. 

Would I  take homeopathy,no. Would I take simvastatin 40mg with an NNT of 22 in very high risk individuals? Nah, I&#039;ll stick with the sardines.And this is a drug with gold standard primary end point data. I wonder what would happen if they took 84 simvastatin tablets in one go. I hope they&#039;re not lactose intolerant.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You can have RCTs which don&#8217;t look at primary end point data and focus on surrogate markers, which many studies do. They are not the be all and end all. </p>
<p>Would I  take homeopathy,no. Would I take simvastatin 40mg with an NNT of 22 in very high risk individuals? Nah, I&#8217;ll stick with the sardines.And this is a drug with gold standard primary end point data. I wonder what would happen if they took 84 simvastatin tablets in one go. I hope they&#8217;re not lactose intolerant.</p>
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		<title>By: David Colquhoun</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5948</link>
		<dc:creator>David Colquhoun</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 15:35:54 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>@Dangerous

Always livens things up to get some sniping from you, though I&#039;m not quite sure what your point is this time.  

I suspect you should be asking Mary English, rather than me, about her understanding of Number Needed to Treat (NNT) and Number Needed to Harm (NNH). They are pretty standard terms these days, though I don&#039;t think they were around at the time I wrote my textbook on statistics.  

They do involve an assumption of causality of course, and for some reason that baffles me alt. med enthusiasts seem to have a particularly weak grasp of that. Hence their disdain for RCTs</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Dangerous</p>
<p>Always livens things up to get some sniping from you, though I&#8217;m not quite sure what your point is this time.  </p>
<p>I suspect you should be asking Mary English, rather than me, about her understanding of Number Needed to Treat (NNT) and Number Needed to Harm (NNH). They are pretty standard terms these days, though I don&#8217;t think they were around at the time I wrote my textbook on statistics.  </p>
<p>They do involve an assumption of causality of course, and for some reason that baffles me alt. med enthusiasts seem to have a particularly weak grasp of that. Hence their disdain for RCTs</p>
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		<title>By: Dangerous Conventional</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5947</link>
		<dc:creator>Dangerous Conventional</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 15:02:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5947</guid>
		<description>DC wrote;
Less excusably, Mary English went on to claim that there is good evidence that homeopathy works. She just hasn’t read, or hasn’t understood the evidence. But since she earns her living as a homeopath
and astrologer, she hasn’t got much incentive to read the evidence. if she did, her income would dry up

So what&#039;s your knowledge of evidence-based medicine? When I&#039;ve raised the NNTs and NNH of conventional medicines the only thing I&#039;ve heard is the sound of one hand clapping.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DC wrote;<br />
Less excusably, Mary English went on to claim that there is good evidence that homeopathy works. She just hasn’t read, or hasn’t understood the evidence. But since she earns her living as a homeopath<br />
and astrologer, she hasn’t got much incentive to read the evidence. if she did, her income would dry up</p>
<p>So what&#8217;s your knowledge of evidence-based medicine? When I&#8217;ve raised the NNTs and NNH of conventional medicines the only thing I&#8217;ve heard is the sound of one hand clapping.</p>
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		<title>By: daijiyobu</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5945</link>
		<dc:creator>daijiyobu</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 01:54:23 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I left U.S. naturopathy school because of my aversion towards homeopathy stupidity.

Lovin&#039; it.

-r.c.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I left U.S. naturopathy school because of my aversion towards homeopathy stupidity.</p>
<p>Lovin&#8217; it.</p>
<p>-r.c.</p>
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		<title>By: Dr Aust</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5937</link>
		<dc:creator>Dr Aust</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 19:42:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5937</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m with DC and Mike Eslea. One of the things the 10;23 Campaign and the Merseyside Skeptic Society (and others) have shown is that you can generate excellent coverage of these issues with a grass-roots campaign. Given the amount of credulous PR puffing the Alt.Reality crew get in newspapers in particular, this is important.

Oh - and I &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=InMOiUNN7q8&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;got to be in&lt;/a&gt; one of the videos!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m with DC and Mike Eslea. One of the things the 10;23 Campaign and the Merseyside Skeptic Society (and others) have shown is that you can generate excellent coverage of these issues with a grass-roots campaign. Given the amount of credulous PR puffing the Alt.Reality crew get in newspapers in particular, this is important.</p>
<p>Oh &#8211; and I <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=InMOiUNN7q8" rel="nofollow">got to be in</a> one of the videos!</p>
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		<title>By: Mike Eslea</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5936</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike Eslea</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 14:58:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5936</guid>
		<description>I agree with you DC. It sounded a bit daft at first but the publicity it got was great! Of course it won&#039;t change the mind of a single homeopath, but it might make a few of their customers think twice. What&#039;s next?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree with you DC. It sounded a bit daft at first but the publicity it got was great! Of course it won&#8217;t change the mind of a single homeopath, but it might make a few of their customers think twice. What&#8217;s next?</p>
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		<title>By: David Colquhoun</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5932</link>
		<dc:creator>David Colquhoun</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 23:39:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5932</guid>
		<description>@skepticat
That rather depends on how honest the person in question is.  I&#039;m inclined to think that most homeopaths are quite honest, in the sense that they really believe all that weird stuff. So if they ever were persuaded to take notice of evidence, they&#039;d have to stop selling it.  I suspect that if you are willing to lie consciously to make money, it might be more profitable to go into something like selling &quot;nutritional supplements&quot;.

Of course if you are doing things that are actually dangerous, as many homeopaths do, the fact that you honestly believe it is not a sufficient excuse.

@lecanardnoir.  I hope that response is sufficient to prevent me from having to use your defence (hehe I love it).  Also love the post that presumably gave rise to it, at http://www.quackometer.net/blog/2007/07/what-our-nhs-money-is-being-spent-on.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@skepticat<br />
That rather depends on how honest the person in question is.  I&#8217;m inclined to think that most homeopaths are quite honest, in the sense that they really believe all that weird stuff. So if they ever were persuaded to take notice of evidence, they&#8217;d have to stop selling it.  I suspect that if you are willing to lie consciously to make money, it might be more profitable to go into something like selling &#8220;nutritional supplements&#8221;.</p>
<p>Of course if you are doing things that are actually dangerous, as many homeopaths do, the fact that you honestly believe it is not a sufficient excuse.</p>
<p>@lecanardnoir.  I hope that response is sufficient to prevent me from having to use your defence (hehe I love it).  Also love the post that presumably gave rise to it, at <a href="http://www.quackometer.net/blog/2007/07/what-our-nhs-money-is-being-spent-on.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.quackometer.net/blog/2007/07/what-our-nhs-money-is-being-spent-on.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: lecanardnoir</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5931</link>
		<dc:creator>lecanardnoir</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 23:26:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5931</guid>
		<description>Careful now.

Mary English once wrote to me saying you have &quot;24 hours to remove all mention, links, comments, writings and/or articles about me or my sites or I will be instructing them to sue for libel&quot;

If I remember, my response was roughly along the lines of the Private Eye classic,

&quot;We would therefore be grateful if you could inform us what [your] attitude to damages would be, were [you] to learn that the nature of our reply is as follows: fuck off&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Careful now.</p>
<p>Mary English once wrote to me saying you have &#8220;24 hours to remove all mention, links, comments, writings and/or articles about me or my sites or I will be instructing them to sue for libel&#8221;</p>
<p>If I remember, my response was roughly along the lines of the Private Eye classic,</p>
<p>&#8220;We would therefore be grateful if you could inform us what [your] attitude to damages would be, were [you] to learn that the nature of our reply is as follows: fuck off&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Skepticat</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5930</link>
		<dc:creator>Skepticat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 23:06:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5930</guid>
		<description>No, it&#039;s if everyone else read the evidence that Mary English&#039;s income would dry up, David. Mary can read it contently knowing there&#039;s no chance of her income drying up as long as people believe there&#039;s something in it. The 10.23 campaign has a lot of work to do.

Great post, anyway.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No, it&#8217;s if everyone else read the evidence that Mary English&#8217;s income would dry up, David. Mary can read it contently knowing there&#8217;s no chance of her income drying up as long as people believe there&#8217;s something in it. The 10.23 campaign has a lot of work to do.</p>
<p>Great post, anyway.</p>
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		<title>By: xtaldave</title>
		<link>http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727&#038;cpage=1#comment-5925</link>
		<dc:creator>xtaldave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 22:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dcscience.net/?p=2727#comment-5925</guid>
		<description>Excellent post David.

Regarding Mary English &amp; treatment of Croup.

She claims in the audio clip that conventional medicine has no treatment for croup. Simply not true. As someone who has had to rush kids to Hospital with croup, treatment is either a salbutamol nebuliser or an oral dose of steroids. Which, in my experience, works very quickly.

Shame there wasn&#039;t time in the interview to take her to task!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Excellent post David.</p>
<p>Regarding Mary English &amp; treatment of Croup.</p>
<p>She claims in the audio clip that conventional medicine has no treatment for croup. Simply not true. As someone who has had to rush kids to Hospital with croup, treatment is either a salbutamol nebuliser or an oral dose of steroids. Which, in my experience, works very quickly.</p>
<p>Shame there wasn&#8217;t time in the interview to take her to task!</p>
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